Projections of the Population of Arkansas,
by County, Age, Gender, and Race: 1990 to 2010 (Volume I and II)
This publication provides three projection series of Arkansas' population and its 75 counties by age, gender, and race. The projections are given in five-year cycles for 1990 to 2010.
A population changes due to variations in the three basic demographic components - mortality, fertility, and migration.
Each series assumes that 1990 fertility and mortality patterns will continue through 2010. The series differ with respect to the migration assumptions.
The report presents the data at the county level for all three series. An overview of the methods and references are also included. The two-volume book contains more than 600 pages of text, tables, and figures.
Notice to users: Since its publication in 1993, there has been a sizeable growth of Arkansas' population. This numerical increase was unforeseen at the release of this report in 1993.
The projections were calculated using the best indicators available at the time. A revised set of projections which will more accurately reflect the substantial population changes that have occurred
in Arkansas in recent years is in the process of being created.
The price is $30 (which includes shipping and handling).
Table of Contents
1. Overview
2. Organization of the Report
3. Introduction
3.1. Projections and Planning
3.2. Conceptual Issues in Forecasting
3.3. Projection Scenarios
3.3.1. Base Population
3.3.2. Fertility and Mortality
3.3.3. Migration Patterns
3.3.4. Selection of a Series
3.3.4.1. Series A
3.3.4.2. Series B
3.3.4.3. Series C
3.4. Projection Method
4. Background Data
4.1. Trends in the Population of Arkansas, 1970-1990
4.2. Fertility
4.3. Mortality
4.4. Migration
5. References
6. Projection Summaries
6.1. Series A
6.2. Series B
6.3. Series C
